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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 19 October 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 29
  3. 33
  4. 37
  5. 40
  6. 9

Jackpot$12,000,000

The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 188 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-10-15All recent draws2011-10-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 29 33 37 40 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap53th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

1327times
2920times
3324times
3712times
40

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-19

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$599.4Kto 165k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$101.3K
  • Match 333%$196.6K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball17%$104.6K
  • 4 other tiers33%$197.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

9times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

910times

Every number was expected about that many times after 187 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 29, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 January 2010 — its closest relative in 187 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 66% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 October 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$12,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 2.6 by chanceno winners
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball20≈ 21 by chance$1,369
  • Match 4449≈ 538 by chance$101
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball734≈ 849 by chance$55.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,125≈ 11k by chance$10.00
  • Match 317,875≈ 22k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball52,307≈ 55k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball83,854≈ 84k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 17,875 winners, 19% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$12,000,000
    Match 50$0.00
    Match 4 + Mega Ball20$1,369
    Match 4449$101
    Match 3 + Mega Ball734$55.00
    Match 317,875$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,125$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball52,307$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball83,854$1.00
    Totals165,364—