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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 22 October 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 27
  3. 34
  4. 39
  5. 45
  6. 22

Jackpot$13,000,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 189 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-10-19All recent draws2011-10-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 27 34 39 45 + 2229 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

2125times
2725times
3423times
3916times
45

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$702.8Kto 167k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$115.0K
  • Match 331%$216.9K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$104.3K
  • 5 other tiers38%$266.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

228times

Every number was expected about that many times after 188 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (27, 34, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 June 2011 — its closest relative in 188 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 66% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$13,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.6 by chance$59,570
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball14≈ 21 by chance$2,127
  • Match 4541≈ 537 by chance$91.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball791≈ 847 by chance$56.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,456≈ 11k by chance$11.00
  • Match 319,721≈ 22k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball52,140≈ 55k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball83,701≈ 84k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 19,721 winners, 10% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$13,000,000
    Match 51$59,570
    Match 4 + Mega Ball14$2,127
    Match 4541$91.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball791$56.00
    Match 319,721$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,456$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball52,140$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball83,701$1.00
    Totals167,365—