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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 15 October 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 18
  3. 25
  4. 32
  5. 46
  6. 15

Jackpot$11,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 187 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-10-12All recent draws2011-10-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 18 25 32 46 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap53th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

216times
1816times
2526times
3216times
46

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$685.1Kto 163k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$110.2K
  • Match 330%$207.8K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$102.8K
  • 5 other tiers39%$264.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

17times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

158times

Every number was expected about that many times after 186 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (32, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 October 2011 — its closest relative in 186 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 October 2011): 2 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$11,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.5 by chance$29,754
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball16≈ 20 by chance$1,859
  • Match 4440≈ 522 by chance$112
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball766≈ 823 by chance$58.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,018≈ 11k by chance$11.00
  • Match 318,891≈ 21k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball51,402≈ 54k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball81,334≈ 81k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 440 winners, 16% fewer than the 522 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$11,000,000
    Match 52$29,754
    Match 4 + Mega Ball16$1,859
    Match 4440$112
    Match 3 + Mega Ball766$58.00
    Match 318,891$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,018$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball51,402$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball81,334$1.00
    Totals162,869—