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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 29 September 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 23
  3. 25
  4. 33
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$18,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 829 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-09-25All recent draws2021-10-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 23 25 33 38 40 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 124 of each

12124times
23137times
25124times
33115times
38

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-29

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$573.6Kto 23k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$85.6K
  • Match 3 + Powerball50%NZ$288.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$78.7K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$120.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

110times
40125times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each

979times

Every number was expected about that many times after 828 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (23, 33, 38, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 January 2020 — its closest relative in 828 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 September 2021): 23, 33, 40 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

171

The numbers add up to 171 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$18,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball36≈ 33 by chanceNZ$1,191
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,427≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$60.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball19,238≈ 19k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$34,007
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball85NZ$116
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,874NZ$42.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,427 winners, 5% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$18,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$34,007
    Match 5 + Powerball36NZ$1,191
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball85NZ$116
    Match 4 + Powerball1,427NZ$60.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,874NZ$42.00
    Match 3 + Powerball19,238NZ$15.00
    Totals22,662—