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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 7 March 2020

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 14
  3. 20
  4. 23
  5. 26
  6. 39
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 666 of 1,352 under them

← 2020-03-04All recent draws2020-03-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 14 20 23 26 39 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

81oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 81 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 100 of each

7101times
14103times
2095times
23103times
26

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-07

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$424.8Kto 18k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$62.6K
  • Match 3 + Powerball54%NZ$228.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$60.3K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$73.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

98times
3996times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

294times

Every number was expected about that many times after 665 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 14, 23, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 March 2019 — its closest relative in 665 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 March 2020): 14, 39 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball20≈ 26 by chanceNZ$1,415
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,043≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$60.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball15,207≈ 15k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$37,841
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball71NZ$107
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,547NZ$39.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,043 winners, 2% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$37,841
    Match 5 + Powerball20NZ$1,415
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball71NZ$107
    Match 4 + Powerball1,043NZ$60.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,547NZ$39.00
    Match 3 + Powerball15,207NZ$15.00
    Totals17,889—