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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 4 March 2020

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 14
  3. 30
  4. 36
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 665 of 1,352 under them

← 2020-02-29All recent draws2020-03-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 14 30 36 39 40 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 100 of each

584times
14102times
3095times
3697times
39

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-04

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$284.8Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 271lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$42.6K
  • Match 3 + Powerball47%NZ$133.5K
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball17%NZ$47.4K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$61.3K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

95times
4097times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

1056times

Every number was expected about that many times after 664 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (36, 39, 40) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 February 2020 — its closest relative in 664 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 February 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

164

The numbers add up to 164 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball10≈ 15 by chanceNZ$1,812
  • Match 4 + Powerball676≈ 626 by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball8,899≈ 8.9k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$47,373
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball49NZ$109
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball881NZ$43.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 676 winners, 8% more than the 626 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$47,373
    Match 5 + Powerball10NZ$1,812
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball49NZ$109
    Match 4 + Powerball676NZ$63.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball881NZ$43.00
    Match 3 + Powerball8,899NZ$15.00
    Totals10,516—