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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 15 May 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 21
  5. 27
  6. 37
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$7,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 581 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-05-11All recent draws2019-05-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 13 14 21 27 37 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum41th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

572times
1393times
1493times
2187times
27

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$275.1Kto 12k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 270lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$42.2K
  • Match 3 + Powerball56%NZ$154.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$42.3K
  • 2 other tiers13%NZ$36.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

81times
3788times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each

655times

Every number was expected about that many times after 580 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 14, 21, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 December 2015 — its closest relative in 580 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 73% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

117

The numbers add up to 117 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$7,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball20≈ 18 by chanceNZ$1,590
  • Match 4 + Powerball753≈ 724 by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball10,296≈ 10k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball34NZ$128
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,113NZ$38.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 753 winners, 4% more than the 724 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$7,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball20NZ$1,590
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball34NZ$128
    Match 4 + Powerball753NZ$56.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,113NZ$38.00
    Match 3 + Powerball10,296NZ$15.00
    Totals12,216—