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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 11 May 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 16
  4. 19
  5. 20
  6. 39
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$6,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 580 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-05-08All recent draws2019-05-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 16 19 20 39 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

288times
391times
1681times
19104times
20

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-11

  • Lines in play≈ 6.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$599.1Kto 25k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$87.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball54%NZ$322.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$82K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$106.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

81times
3979times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each

353times

Every number was expected about that many times after 579 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 3, 16, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 February 2017 — its closest relative in 579 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 73% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 May 2019): 19 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 19–20. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$6,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball40≈ 37 by chanceNZ$1,123
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,512≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball21,505≈ 22k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$25,575
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball98NZ$110
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,952NZ$42.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,512 winners, 0% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$6,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$25,575
    Match 5 + Powerball40NZ$1,123
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball98NZ$110
    Match 4 + Powerball1,512NZ$58.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,952NZ$42.00
    Match 3 + Powerball21,505NZ$15.00
    Totals25,109—