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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 5 August 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 22
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 31
  6. 35
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$7,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 396 of 1,350 under them

← 2017-08-02All recent draws2017-08-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 22 29 30 31 35 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

1651times
2251times
2958times
3058times
31

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-05

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$371.1Kto 15k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball17%NZ$62.6K
  • Match 3 + Powerball53%NZ$195.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball16%NZ$57.8K
  • 2 other tiers15%NZ$55.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

58times
3562times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

1034times

Every number was expected about that many times after 395 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (22, 29, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 November 2016 — its closest relative in 395 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 August 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

163

The numbers add up to 163 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30, 30–31. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$7,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball25≈ 22 by chanceNZ$1,921
  • Match 4 + Powerball934≈ 917 by chanceNZ$67.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball13,042≈ 13k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball54NZ$131
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,284NZ$45.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 934 winners, 2% more than the 917 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$7,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball25NZ$1,921
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball54NZ$131
    Match 4 + Powerball934NZ$67.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,284NZ$45.00
    Match 3 + Powerball13,042NZ$15.00
    Totals15,339—