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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 2 August 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 6
  4. 8
  5. 26
  6. 28
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$6,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 395 of 1,352 under them

← 2017-07-29All recent draws2017-08-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 6 8 26 28 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd5th
  • low79th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

164times
259times
655times
853times
26

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-02

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$258.4Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 271lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$35.1K
  • Match 3 + Powerball54%NZ$140.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball13%NZ$33.1K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$49.9K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

67times
2858times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 39 of each

336times

Every number was expected about that many times after 394 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 2, 26, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 April 2017 — its closest relative in 394 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

71

The numbers add up to 71 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$6,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball22≈ 16 by chanceNZ$823
  • Match 4 + Powerball762≈ 658 by chanceNZ$46.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,356≈ 9.4k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$27,211
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball53NZ$86.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball895NZ$37.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 762 winners, 16% more than the 658 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$6,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$27,211
    Match 5 + Powerball22NZ$823
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball53NZ$86.00
    Match 4 + Powerball762NZ$46.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball895NZ$37.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,356NZ$15.00
    Totals11,089—