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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 28 September 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 16
  3. 24
  4. 28
  5. 34
  6. 35
  7. 32

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,143 of 1,355 under them

← 2024-09-25All recent draws2024-10-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 16 24 28 34 35 + 3229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum83th
  • odd5th
  • low21th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 171 of each

12181times
16164times
24183times
28173times
34

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-28

  • Lines in play≈ 9.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 312k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$305.0K
  • Match 432%NZ$604.0K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$583.2K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$371.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

166times
35180times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,142 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 16, 24, 28) with the draw of 6 July 2024 — its closest relative in 1,142 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 15 by chanceNZ$20,331
  • Match 5452≈ 480 by chanceNZ$669
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,254≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 419,485≈ 19k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,508≈ 26k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3264,527≈ 265k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,254 winners, 5% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$20,331
    Match 5452NZ$669
    Match 4 + Bonus1,254NZ$55.00
    Match 419,485NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,508NZ$22.00
    Match 3264,527NZ$0.00
    Totals312,241—