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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 25 September 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 5
  4. 17
  5. 27
  6. 30
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,142 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-09-21All recent draws2024-09-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 5 17 27 30 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 171 of each

2171times
3161times
5167times
17189times
27

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-25

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 256k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 642%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$441.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$426K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$489.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

153times
30164times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,141 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 17, 30) with the draw of 10 August 2024 — its closest relative in 1,141 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

84

The numbers add up to 84 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus21≈ 12 by chanceNZ$10,509
  • Match 5404≈ 391 by chanceNZ$542
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,216≈ 977 by chanceNZ$41.00
  • Match 415,763≈ 16k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,665≈ 21k by chanceNZ$18.00
  • Match 3215,398≈ 215k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,216 winners, 24% more than the 977 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus21NZ$10,509
    Match 5404NZ$542
    Match 4 + Bonus1,216NZ$41.00
    Match 415,763NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,665NZ$18.00
    Match 3215,398NZ$0.00
    Totals256,469—