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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 27 April 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 6
  4. 12
  5. 16
  6. 21
  7. 18

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,099 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-04-24All recent draws2024-05-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 6 12 16 21 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 April 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

14oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 14 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd21th
  • low95th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 165 of each

4163times
5163times
6162times
12171times
16

Prize breakdown · 2024-04-27

  • Lines in play≈ 9.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.7Mto 320k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$271K
  • Match 433%NZ$545.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$514.7K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$330.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

154times
21164times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,098 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 5, 12, 21) with the draw of 3 July 2021 — its closest relative in 1,098 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 April 2024): 21 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

64

The numbers add up to 64 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5, 5–6. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus20≈ 15 by chanceNZ$13,549
  • Match 5504≈ 492 by chanceNZ$533
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,297≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 420,205≈ 20k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus27,091≈ 26k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3271,039≈ 271k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,297 winners, 5% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus20NZ$13,549
    Match 5504NZ$533
    Match 4 + Bonus1,297NZ$48.00
    Match 420,205NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus27,091NZ$19.00
    Match 3271,039NZ$0.00
    Totals320,156—