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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 1 May 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 14
  3. 17
  4. 20
  5. 25
  6. 34
  7. 35

JackpotNZ$1,000,002

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,100 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-04-27All recent draws2024-05-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 14 17 20 25 34 + 3529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 165 of each

12172times
14148times
17181times
20164times
25

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-01

  • Lines in play≈ 8.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 266k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 66 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$503.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$503K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$565.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 66≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

175times
34156times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,099 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 17, 20, 25) with the draw of 8 August 2018 — its closest relative in 1,099 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 April 2024): 12 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$166,667
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 13 by chanceNZ$18,211
  • Match 5401≈ 415 by chanceNZ$631
  • Match 4 + Bonus933≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 416,239≈ 17k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,120≈ 22k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3228,693≈ 229k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 933 winners, 10% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 66NZ$166,667
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$18,211
    Match 5401NZ$631
    Match 4 + Bonus933NZ$62.00
    Match 416,239NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,120NZ$25.00
    Match 3228,693NZ$0.00
    Totals266,406—