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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 24 April 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 19
  2. 21
  3. 27
  4. 30
  5. 34
  6. 37
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,098 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-04-20All recent draws2024-04-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 21 27 30 34 37 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 April 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd79th
  • low5th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 165 of each

19190times
21163times
27149times
30154times
34

Prize breakdown · 2024-04-24

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.3Mto 211k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.7

Where the money went

  • Match 644%NZ$1M
  • Match 418%NZ$423.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$402.7K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$470.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

155times
37154times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,097 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (19, 21, 30, 37) with the draw of 23 April 2016 — its closest relative in 1,097 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 April 2024): 30 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 9.9 by chanceNZ$15,116
  • Match 5326≈ 327 by chanceNZ$644
  • Match 4 + Bonus822≈ 818 by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 412,833≈ 13k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus16,779≈ 17k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3180,356≈ 180k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 16,779 winners, 4% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$15,116
    Match 5326NZ$644
    Match 4 + Bonus822NZ$59.00
    Match 412,833NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus16,779NZ$24.00
    Match 3180,356NZ$0.00
    Totals211,131—