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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 January 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 20
  3. 28
  4. 29
  5. 32
  6. 38
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 965 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-01-11All recent draws2023-01-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 20 28 29 32 38 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each

5137times
20145times
28139times
29155times
32

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-14

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.4Mto 391k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 3.1

Where the money went

  • Match 630%NZ$1M
  • Match 423%NZ$765.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$735.6K
  • 3 other tiers26%NZ$857.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 3.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

147times
38132times

Every number was expected about that many times after 964 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 28, 29, 38) with the draw of 21 July 2021 — its closest relative in 964 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 18 by chanceNZ$27,582
  • Match 5583≈ 604 by chanceNZ$657
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,359≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 423,908≈ 24k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus31,981≈ 32k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3332,914≈ 333k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,359 winners, 10% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$27,582
    Match 5583NZ$657
    Match 4 + Bonus1,359NZ$65.00
    Match 423,908NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus31,981NZ$23.00
    Match 3332,914NZ$0.00
    Totals390,763—