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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 January 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 18
  4. 22
  5. 24
  6. 33
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 964 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-01-07All recent draws2023-01-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 18 22 24 33 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each

9140times
10154times
18145times
22154times
24

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-11

  • Lines in play≈ 9.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 323k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$575.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$555.5K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$637.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

154times
33140times

Every number was expected about that many times after 963 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 10, 22, 24) with the draw of 30 June 2012 — its closest relative in 963 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 January 2023): 24 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 15 by chanceNZ$17,963
  • Match 5461≈ 497 by chanceNZ$618
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,226≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 419,850≈ 20k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus27,777≈ 27k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3273,959≈ 274k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 27,777 winners, 5% more than the 27k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$17,963
    Match 5461NZ$618
    Match 4 + Bonus1,226NZ$53.00
    Match 419,850NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus27,777NZ$20.00
    Match 3273,959NZ$0.00
    Totals323,290—