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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 7 January 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 7
  4. 15
  5. 24
  6. 30
  7. 22

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 963 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-01-04All recent draws2023-01-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 7 15 24 30 + 2229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each

1151times
3138times
7140times
15163times
24

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-07

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 362k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.8

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$632.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$603.8K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$700.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

153times
30136times

Every number was expected about that many times after 962 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 3, 7, 30) with the draw of 12 January 2013 — its closest relative in 962 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

80

The numbers add up to 80 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 17 by chanceNZ$22,526
  • Match 5582≈ 557 by chanceNZ$537
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,572≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$46.00
  • Match 422,585≈ 22k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus30,190≈ 30k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3306,968≈ 307k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,572 winners, 13% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$22,526
    Match 5582NZ$537
    Match 4 + Bonus1,572NZ$46.00
    Match 422,585NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus30,190NZ$20.00
    Match 3306,968NZ$0.00
    Totals361,912—