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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 7 September 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 12
  3. 19
  4. 21
  5. 26
  6. 38
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 928 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-09-03All recent draws2022-09-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 12 19 21 26 38 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

82oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 82 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum47th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 139 of each

5132times
12142times
19165times
21139times
26

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-07

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.5Mto 259k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$236.7K
  • Match 433%NZ$474.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$456.9K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$288.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

142times
38129times

Every number was expected about that many times after 927 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 19, 21, 26) with the draw of 4 May 2022 — its closest relative in 927 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 September 2022): 12, 19, 38 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 12 by chanceNZ$39,447
  • Match 5439≈ 402 by chanceNZ$535
  • Match 4 + Bonus941≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 416,953≈ 16k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,037≈ 21k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3221,630≈ 222k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 19,037 winners, 11% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$39,447
    Match 5439NZ$535
    Match 4 + Bonus941NZ$57.00
    Match 416,953NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,037NZ$24.00
    Match 3221,630NZ$0.00
    Totals259,006—