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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 3 September 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 16
  3. 19
  4. 24
  5. 38
  6. 39
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 927 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-08-31All recent draws2022-09-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 16 19 24 38 39 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 139 of each

12141times
16133times
19164times
24146times
38

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-03

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.2Mto 372k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.9

Where the money went

  • Match 631%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$713.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$687.5K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$799.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

128times
39134times

Every number was expected about that many times after 926 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 16, 19, 24) with the draw of 27 April 2022 — its closest relative in 926 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 August 2022): 24 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 17 by chanceNZ$39,988
  • Match 5537≈ 574 by chanceNZ$665
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,498≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 422,284≈ 23k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus31,251≈ 31k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3316,368≈ 316k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 537 winners, 6% fewer than the 574 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$39,988
    Match 5537NZ$665
    Match 4 + Bonus1,498NZ$55.00
    Match 422,284NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus31,251NZ$22.00
    Match 3316,368NZ$0.00
    Totals371,949—