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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 September 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 17
  5. 21
  6. 33
  7. 35

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 929 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-09-07All recent draws2022-09-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 10 14 17 21 33 + 3529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 139 of each

2142times
10147times
14129times
17152times
21

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-10

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 339k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.7

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$629.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$614.7K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$701.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

140times
33130times

Every number was expected about that many times after 928 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 17, 21, 33) with the draw of 17 October 2018 — its closest relative in 928 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 September 2022): 21 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 16 by chanceNZ$22,550
  • Match 5491≈ 528 by chanceNZ$638
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,205≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$60.00
  • Match 420,989≈ 21k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,613≈ 28k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3290,874≈ 291k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 25,613 winners, 9% fewer than the 28k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$22,550
    Match 5491NZ$638
    Match 4 + Bonus1,205NZ$60.00
    Match 420,989NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,613NZ$24.00
    Match 3290,874NZ$0.00
    Totals339,187—