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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 26 December 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 24
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 32
  6. 40
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 542 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-12-22All recent draws2018-12-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 24 29 30 32 40 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd21th
  • low5th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each

386times
2481times
2985times
3078times
32

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-26

  • Lines in play≈ 8.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 289k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$549.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$544.4K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$625.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

81times
4079times

Every number was expected about that many times after 541 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 29, 30, 32) with the draw of 12 December 2018 — its closest relative in 541 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 December 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

158

The numbers add up to 158 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 14 by chanceNZ$31,273
  • Match 5409≈ 448 by chanceNZ$683
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,129≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 417,163≈ 18k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,668≈ 24k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3246,801≈ 247k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,163 winners, 4% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$31,273
    Match 5409NZ$683
    Match 4 + Bonus1,129NZ$57.00
    Match 417,163NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,668NZ$23.00
    Match 3246,801NZ$0.00
    Totals0—