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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 22 December 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 15
  3. 25
  4. 27
  5. 28
  6. 31
  7. 38

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 541 of 1,356 under them

← 2018-12-19All recent draws2018-12-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 15 25 27 28 31 + 3829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each

1078times
1597times
2580times
2773times
28

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-22

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.0Mto 362k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.8

Where the money went

  • Match 633%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 422%NZ$666.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$634.1K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$740.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

76times
3175times

Every number was expected about that many times after 540 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 15, 25, 28) with the draw of 22 August 2018 — its closest relative in 540 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 December 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

136

The numbers add up to 136 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 17 by chanceNZ$22,238
  • Match 5558≈ 562 by chanceNZ$593
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,335≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 422,220≈ 22k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus27,569≈ 30k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3309,986≈ 310k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 27,569 winners, 8% fewer than the 30k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$22,238
    Match 5558NZ$593
    Match 4 + Bonus1,335NZ$57.00
    Match 422,220NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus27,569NZ$23.00
    Match 3309,986NZ$0.00
    Totals0—