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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 29 December 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 15
  5. 33
  6. 35
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 543 of 1,356 under them

← 2018-12-26All recent draws2019-01-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 10 11 15 33 35 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each

283times
1079times
1176times
1598times
33

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-29

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.3Mto 394k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 3.1

Where the money went

  • Match 630%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 423%NZ$756.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$746.9K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$844.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 3.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

80times
3585times

Every number was expected about that many times after 542 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 15, 33, 35) with the draw of 3 August 2016 — its closest relative in 542 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 December 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 18 by chanceNZ$27,193
  • Match 5549≈ 604 by chanceNZ$688
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,629≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 423,637≈ 24k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus35,569≈ 32k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3333,043≈ 333k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 35,569 winners, 10% more than the 32k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$27,193
    Match 5549NZ$688
    Match 4 + Bonus1,629NZ$53.00
    Match 423,637NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus35,569NZ$21.00
    Match 3333,043NZ$0.00
    Totals0—