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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 November 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 20
  5. 27
  6. 30
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 529 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-11-07All recent draws2018-11-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 10 20 27 30 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each

476times
984times
1077times
2072times
27

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-10

  • Lines in play≈ 9.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 306k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$530K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$501.9K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$584.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

70times
3072times

Every number was expected about that many times after 528 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 9, 20) with the draw of 9 June 2018 — its closest relative in 528 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 November 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 14 by chanceNZ$17,532
  • Match 5483≈ 469 by chanceNZ$540
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,342≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$45.00
  • Match 419,630≈ 19k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,417≈ 25k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3258,609≈ 259k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,342 winners, 14% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$17,532
    Match 5483NZ$540
    Match 4 + Bonus1,342NZ$45.00
    Match 419,630NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,417NZ$19.00
    Match 3258,609NZ$0.00
    Totals0—