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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 14 November 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 20
  4. 24
  5. 27
  6. 31
  7. 1

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 530 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-11-10All recent draws2018-11-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 20 24 27 31 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each

665times
871times
2073times
2478times
27

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-14

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$877.2Kto 155k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$144.2K
  • Match 432%NZ$283.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$274K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$175.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

71times
3173times

Every number was expected about that many times after 529 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 20, 31) with the draw of 20 May 2017 — its closest relative in 529 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 November 2018): 20, 27 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 7.2 by chanceNZ$28,831
  • Match 5241≈ 238 by chanceNZ$593
  • Match 4 + Bonus606≈ 596 by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 49,774≈ 9.5k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus13,046≈ 13k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3131,370≈ 131k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 13,046 winners, 3% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$28,831
    Match 5241NZ$593
    Match 4 + Bonus606NZ$54.00
    Match 49,774NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus13,046NZ$21.00
    Match 3131,370NZ$0.00
    Totals0—