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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 7 November 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 12
  3. 15
  4. 22
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 528 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-11-03All recent draws2018-11-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 12 15 22 39 40 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each

188times
1283times
1596times
2275times
39

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-07

  • Lines in play≈ 5.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.1Mto 194k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 29lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$178.8K
  • Match 432%NZ$350.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$339.5K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$217.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

74times
4076times

Every number was expected about that many times after 527 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 12, 15, 22) with the draw of 27 September 2017 — its closest relative in 527 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 November 2018): 1, 22 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 9.0 by chanceNZ$13,757
  • Match 5337≈ 296 by chanceNZ$526
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,032≈ 739 by chanceNZ$39.00
  • Match 412,099≈ 12k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus17,866≈ 16k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3162,918≈ 163k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,032 winners, 40% more than the 739 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$13,757
    Match 5337NZ$526
    Match 4 + Bonus1,032NZ$39.00
    Match 412,099NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus17,866NZ$19.00
    Match 3162,918NZ$0.00
    Totals0—