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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 26 September 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 23
  3. 26
  4. 32
  5. 36
  6. 40
  7. 35

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 516 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-09-22All recent draws2018-09-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 23 26 32 36 40 + 3529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

17oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 17 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd5th
  • low1th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

2273times
2378times
2676times
3274times
36

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-26

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$893.6Kto 145k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$146K
  • Match 432%NZ$286.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$283.4K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$177.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

82times
4074times

Every number was expected about that many times after 515 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (22, 23, 26, 40) with the draw of 13 August 2016 — its closest relative in 515 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 September 2018): 22, 36 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

179

The numbers add up to 179 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus4≈ 6.8 by chanceNZ$36,499
  • Match 5194≈ 224 by chanceNZ$746
  • Match 4 + Bonus525≈ 561 by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 48,949≈ 9.0k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus11,337≈ 12k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3123,635≈ 124k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 525 winners, 6% fewer than the 561 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus4NZ$36,499
    Match 5194NZ$746
    Match 4 + Bonus525NZ$63.00
    Match 48,949NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus11,337NZ$25.00
    Match 3123,635NZ$0.00
    Totals0—