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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 29 September 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 19
  3. 24
  4. 29
  5. 32
  6. 35
  7. 30

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 517 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-09-26All recent draws2018-10-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 19 24 29 32 35 + 3029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

1593times
1995times
2475times
2980times
32

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-29

  • Lines in play≈ 7.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 232k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 641%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$469.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$455.1K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$518.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

75times
3583times

Every number was expected about that many times after 516 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 24, 29, 35) with the draw of 11 October 2017 — its closest relative in 516 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 September 2018): 32 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 11 by chanceNZ$23,379
  • Match 5345≈ 361 by chanceNZ$672
  • Match 4 + Bonus867≈ 902 by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 414,229≈ 14k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,203≈ 19k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3198,812≈ 199k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 18,203 winners, 5% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$23,379
    Match 5345NZ$672
    Match 4 + Bonus867NZ$61.00
    Match 414,229NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,203NZ$25.00
    Match 3198,812NZ$0.00
    Totals0—