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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 22 September 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 22
  3. 25
  4. 35
  5. 36
  6. 38
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 515 of 1,355 under them

← 2018-09-19All recent draws2018-09-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 22 25 35 36 38 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

383times
2272times
2574times
3582times
36

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-22

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.4Mto 222k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.7

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$233.3K
  • Match 432%NZ$461.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$444.8K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$284.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

81times
3867times

Every number was expected about that many times after 514 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 22, 35, 36) with the draw of 18 May 2013 — its closest relative in 514 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 September 2018): 3 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 10 by chanceNZ$23,333
  • Match 5354≈ 342 by chanceNZ$654
  • Match 4 + Bonus846≈ 855 by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 412,830≈ 14k by chanceNZ$36.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,338≈ 18k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3188,431≈ 188k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 12,830 winners, 6% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$23,333
    Match 5354NZ$654
    Match 4 + Bonus846NZ$63.00
    Match 412,830NZ$36.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,338NZ$23.00
    Match 3188,431NZ$0.00
    Totals0—