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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 16 August 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 18
  5. 23
  6. 32
  7. 22

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 400 of 1,355 under them

← 2017-08-12All recent draws2017-08-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 10 14 18 23 32 + 2229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd5th
  • low79th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

854times
1054times
1466times
1868times
23

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-16

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.0Mto 178k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 650%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 416%NZ$313.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$315.8K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$354.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
3261times

Every number was expected about that many times after 399 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 14, 18, 23) with the draw of 14 September 2016 — its closest relative in 399 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 August 2017): 14, 23 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 8.3 by chanceNZ$19,965
  • Match 5313≈ 273 by chanceNZ$506
  • Match 4 + Bonus697≈ 683 by chanceNZ$52.00
  • Match 411,184≈ 11k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus15,037≈ 15k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3150,477≈ 150k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 15,037 winners, 3% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$19,965
    Match 5313NZ$506
    Match 4 + Bonus697NZ$52.00
    Match 411,184NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus15,037NZ$21.00
    Match 3150,477NZ$0.00
    Totals0—