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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 19 August 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 17
  3. 22
  4. 27
  5. 28
  6. 32
  7. 18

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 401 of 1,355 under them

← 2017-08-16All recent draws2017-08-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 17 22 27 28 32 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum60th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

453times
1766times
2252times
2759times
28

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-19

  • Lines in play≈ 8.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.6Mto 286k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$266.2K
  • Match 432%NZ$521.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$511.1K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$324.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

59times
3262times

Every number was expected about that many times after 400 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 17, 22, 32) with the draw of 13 July 2016 — its closest relative in 400 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 August 2017): 32 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 13 by chanceNZ$22,186
  • Match 5414≈ 440 by chanceNZ$638
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,118≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 417,395≈ 18k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,337≈ 23k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3242,452≈ 242k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 24,337 winners, 4% more than the 23k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$22,186
    Match 5414NZ$638
    Match 4 + Bonus1,118NZ$54.00
    Match 417,395NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,337NZ$21.00
    Match 3242,452NZ$0.00
    Totals0—