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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 August 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 14
  3. 21
  4. 23
  5. 30
  6. 31
  7. 36

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 399 of 1,355 under them

← 2017-08-09All recent draws2017-08-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 14 21 23 30 31 + 3629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

82oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 82 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum47th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

261times
1465times
2160times
2355times
30

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-12

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.5Mto 261k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$252.4K
  • Match 432%NZ$494.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$493.4K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$308.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

59times
3160times

Every number was expected about that many times after 398 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 21, 30, 31) with the draw of 12 July 2014 — its closest relative in 398 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 August 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 12 by chanceNZ$50,481
  • Match 5405≈ 408 by chanceNZ$618
  • Match 4 + Bonus850≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$68.00
  • Match 415,959≈ 16k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,977≈ 22k by chanceNZ$26.00
  • Match 3224,632≈ 225k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 850 winners, 17% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$50,481
    Match 5405NZ$618
    Match 4 + Bonus850NZ$68.00
    Match 415,959NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,977NZ$26.00
    Match 3224,632NZ$0.00
    Totals0—