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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 19 October 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 18
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 28
  6. 30
  7. 15

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 314 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-10-15All recent draws2016-10-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 18 20 21 28 30 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each

949times
1861times
2046times
2149times
28

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-19

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 40k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 199lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$505.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$499.3K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$545.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

44times
3044times

Every number was expected about that many times after 313 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 18, 28, 30) with the draw of 9 November 2013 — its closest relative in 313 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 October 2016): 20 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 12 by chanceNZ$17,031
  • Match 5377≈ 407 by chanceNZ$658
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,258≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$47.00
  • Match 416,297≈ 16k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,710≈ 22k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,258 winners, 24% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$17,031
    Match 5377NZ$658
    Match 4 + Bonus1,258NZ$47.00
    Match 416,297NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,710NZ$23.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—