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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 22 October 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 19
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 26
  6. 35
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 315 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-10-19All recent draws2016-10-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 19 20 21 26 35 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each

1753times
1959times
2047times
2150times
26

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-22

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.6Mto 61k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 203lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 3.2

Where the money went

  • Match 628%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 424%NZ$839.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus23%NZ$811.1K
  • 3 other tiers26%NZ$910.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 3.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

50times
3548times

Every number was expected about that many times after 314 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 19, 21, 35) with the draw of 22 September 2012 — its closest relative in 314 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2016): 20, 21 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20, 20–21. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus19≈ 19 by chanceNZ$20,941
  • Match 5572≈ 634 by chanceNZ$723
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,550≈ 1.6k by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 424,680≈ 25k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus33,794≈ 34k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 572 winners, 10% fewer than the 634 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus19NZ$20,941
    Match 5572NZ$723
    Match 4 + Bonus1,550NZ$64.00
    Match 424,680NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus33,794NZ$24.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—