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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 October 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 15
  3. 20
  4. 29
  5. 35
  6. 39
  7. 21

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 313 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-10-12All recent draws2016-10-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 15 20 29 35 39 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each

846times
1560times
2045times
2943times
35

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.2Mto 51k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 201lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 2.7

Where the money went

  • Match 631%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 423%NZ$735.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$705.3K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$789.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 2.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

47times
3949times

Every number was expected about that many times after 312 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 15, 35, 39) with the draw of 10 March 2012 — its closest relative in 312 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 October 2016): 15 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus24≈ 16 by chanceNZ$14,387
  • Match 5463≈ 529 by chanceNZ$775
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,274≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$67.00
  • Match 421,003≈ 21k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus28,213≈ 28k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 463 winners, 12% fewer than the 529 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus24NZ$14,387
    Match 5463NZ$775
    Match 4 + Bonus1,274NZ$67.00
    Match 421,003NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus28,213NZ$25.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—