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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 8 October 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 19
  3. 22
  4. 23
  5. 28
  6. 29
  7. 17

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 311 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-10-05All recent draws2016-10-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 19 22 23 28 29 + 1729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each

242times
1958times
2241times
2342times
28

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-08

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.0Mto 52k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 203lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.7

Where the money went

  • Match 633%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 422%NZ$669.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$636.0K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$719.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

43times
2942times

Every number was expected about that many times after 310 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (19, 28, 29) with the draw of 20 August 2016 — its closest relative in 310 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 October 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23, 28–29. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 16 by chanceNZ$24,210
  • Match 5536≈ 542 by chanceNZ$610
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,363≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 420,929≈ 22k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus28,910≈ 29k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 20,929 winners, 3% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$24,210
    Match 5536NZ$610
    Match 4 + Bonus1,363NZ$57.00
    Match 420,929NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus28,910NZ$22.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—