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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 5 October 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 12
  3. 24
  4. 30
  5. 36
  6. 37
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 310 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-10-01All recent draws2016-10-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 12 24 30 36 37 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

1140times
1245times
2448times
3043times
36

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-05

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 27k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 201lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 647%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 417%NZ$369.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$361.5K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$397.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

47times
3745times

Every number was expected about that many times after 309 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (24, 30, 36) with the draw of 15 June 2016 — its closest relative in 309 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 October 2016): 11, 30 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12, 36–37. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 8.6 by chanceNZ$19,286
  • Match 5247≈ 282 by chanceNZ$731
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,681≈ 706 by chanceNZ$26.00
  • Match 410,254≈ 11k by chanceNZ$36.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus15,061≈ 15k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,681 winners, 138% more than the 706 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$19,286
    Match 5247NZ$731
    Match 4 + Bonus1,681NZ$26.00
    Match 410,254NZ$36.00
    Match 3 + Bonus15,061NZ$24.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—