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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 October 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 11
  3. 16
  4. 23
  5. 26
  6. 30
  7. 27

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 309 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-09-28All recent draws2016-10-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 11 16 23 26 30 + 2729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

746times
1139times
1640times
2341times
26

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-01

  • Lines in play≈ 9.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 49k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 198lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 635%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 421%NZ$594.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$588.0K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$649.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

49times
3042times

Every number was expected about that many times after 308 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 23, 30) with the draw of 9 December 2015 — its closest relative in 308 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 September 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 15 by chanceNZ$18,943
  • Match 5531≈ 501 by chanceNZ$556
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,214≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 420,513≈ 20k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,726≈ 27k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 531 winners, 6% more than the 501 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$18,943
    Match 5531NZ$556
    Match 4 + Bonus1,214NZ$58.00
    Match 420,513NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,726NZ$22.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—