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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 May 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 6
  3. 13
  4. 18
  5. 34
  6. 40
  7. 15

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 269 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-05-11All recent draws2016-05-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 6 13 18 34 40 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

339times
633times
1348times
1852times
34

Prize breakdown · 2016-05-14

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 40k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 197lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$523.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$517.5K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$571.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

34times
4041times

Every number was expected about that many times after 268 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 18, 34, 40) with the draw of 14 March 2015 — its closest relative in 268 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 45% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2016): 40 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 12 by chanceNZ$20,805
  • Match 5382≈ 404 by chanceNZ$679
  • Match 4 + Bonus929≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$67.00
  • Match 416,889≈ 16k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,564≈ 22k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 929 winners, 8% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$20,805
    Match 5382NZ$679
    Match 4 + Bonus929NZ$67.00
    Match 416,889NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,564NZ$24.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—