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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 May 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 22
  4. 27
  5. 32
  6. 40
  7. 33

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 268 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-05-07All recent draws2016-05-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 22 27 32 40 + 3329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

944times
1550times
2235times
2742times
32

Prize breakdown · 2016-05-11

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.8Mto 19k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 202lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 0.98

Where the money went

  • Match 655%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 415%NZ$269.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus14%NZ$259.7K
  • 3 other tiers16%NZ$289.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 0.98 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

32times
4040times

Every number was expected about that many times after 267 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 27, 32, 40) with the draw of 18 October 2014 — its closest relative in 267 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 45% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 May 2016): 32 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 5.9 by chanceNZ$25,285
  • Match 5190≈ 195 by chanceNZ$692
  • Match 4 + Bonus406≈ 487 by chanceNZ$77.00
  • Match 47,696≈ 7.8k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus10,389≈ 10k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 7,696 winners, 1% fewer than the 7.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$25,285
    Match 5190NZ$692
    Match 4 + Bonus406NZ$77.00
    Match 47,696NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus10,389NZ$25.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—