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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 18 May 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 20
  3. 23
  4. 25
  5. 30
  6. 38
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 270 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-05-14All recent draws2016-05-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 20 23 25 30 38 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

1444times
2041times
2336times
2527times
30

Prize breakdown · 2016-05-18

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$881.6Kto 20k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 206lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$141.5K
  • Match 433%NZ$293.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$277.2K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$169.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

36times
3837times

Every number was expected about that many times after 269 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (23, 30, 38) with the draw of 9 December 2015 — its closest relative in 269 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 May 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 6.6 by chanceNZ$17,015
  • Match 5214≈ 217 by chanceNZ$661
  • Match 4 + Bonus508≈ 541 by chanceNZ$66.00
  • Match 48,146≈ 8.7k by chanceNZ$36.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus11,550≈ 12k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 508 winners, 6% fewer than the 541 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$17,015
    Match 5214NZ$661
    Match 4 + Bonus508NZ$66.00
    Match 48,146NZ$36.00
    Match 3 + Bonus11,550NZ$24.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—