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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 March 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 13
  3. 18
  4. 26
  5. 34
  6. 40
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 176 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-03-07All recent draws2015-03-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 13 18 26 34 40 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd5th
  • low50th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

1222times
1331times
1830times
2628times
34

Prize breakdown · 2015-03-14

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.7Mto 40k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 197lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$273.4K
  • Match 433%NZ$555.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$542.2K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$328.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
4028times

Every number was expected about that many times after 175 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 18, 40) with the draw of 7 February 2015 — its closest relative in 175 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2015): 26 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 12 by chanceNZ$37,590
  • Match 5405≈ 407 by chanceNZ$675
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,032≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 416,822≈ 16k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,687≈ 22k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,822 winners, 3% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$37,590
    Match 5405NZ$675
    Match 4 + Bonus1,032NZ$63.00
    Match 416,822NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,687NZ$25.00