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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 7 March 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 6
  4. 24
  5. 26
  6. 30
  7. 15

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 175 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-02-28All recent draws2015-03-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 6 24 26 30 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd5th
  • low50th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

125times
230times
626times
2428times
26

Prize breakdown · 2015-03-07

  • Lines in play≈ 8.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 41k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 200lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$544.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$544.4K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$594K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
3025times

Every number was expected about that many times after 174 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 24, 26) with the draw of 16 August 2014 — its closest relative in 174 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 February 2015): 6, 30 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

89

The numbers add up to 89 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 13 by chanceNZ$21,621
  • Match 5427≈ 425 by chanceNZ$632
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,061≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 417,011≈ 17k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,683≈ 23k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,061 winners, 0% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$21,621
    Match 5427NZ$632
    Match 4 + Bonus1,061NZ$61.00
    Match 417,011NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,683NZ$24.00