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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 January 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 15
  3. 19
  4. 27
  5. 37
  6. 39
  7. 26

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 167 of 1,356 under them

← 2015-01-03All recent draws2015-01-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 15 19 27 37 39 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 January 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

229times
1527times
1932times
2728times
37

Prize breakdown · 2015-01-10

  • Lines in play≈ 7.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 37k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 196lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$526.0K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$521.3K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$569.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

23times
3930times

Every number was expected about that many times after 166 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 15, 27) with the draw of 18 October 2014 — its closest relative in 166 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 January 2015): 27 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 11 by chanceNZ$22,641
  • Match 5362≈ 376 by chanceNZ$715
  • Match 4 + Bonus904≈ 940 by chanceNZ$68.00
  • Match 415,939≈ 15k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,049≈ 20k by chanceNZ$26.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 15,939 winners, 6% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$22,641
    Match 5362NZ$715
    Match 4 + Bonus904NZ$68.00
    Match 415,939NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,049NZ$26.00