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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 3 January 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 17
  4. 27
  5. 31
  6. 32
  7. 11

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 166 of 1,356 under them

← 2014-12-27All recent draws2015-01-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 17 27 31 32 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 January 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

84oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 84 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum41th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

426times
623times
1724times
2727times
31

Prize breakdown · 2015-01-03

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.1Mto 56k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 209lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 3.0

Where the money went

  • Match 632%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 423%NZ$710.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$670.4K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$762.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 3.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

26times
3220times

Every number was expected about that many times after 165 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 27, 32) with the draw of 7 June 2014 — its closest relative in 165 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 December 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

117

The numbers add up to 117 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus18≈ 18 by chanceNZ$18,501
  • Match 5548≈ 599 by chanceNZ$632
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,508≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 421,535≈ 24k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus31,925≈ 32k by chanceNZ$21.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 21,535 winners, 10% fewer than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus18NZ$18,501
    Match 5548NZ$632
    Match 4 + Bonus1,508NZ$55.00
    Match 421,535NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus31,925NZ$21.00