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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 September 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 14
  4. 16
  5. 36
  6. 38
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 46 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-09-08All recent draws2012-09-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 14 16 36 38 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

16times
35times
143times
166times
36

Prize breakdown · 2012-09-15

  • Lines in play≈ 8.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.8Mto 40k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 213lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$281.3K
  • Match 433%NZ$577.0K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$560.5K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$337.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

6times
387times

Every number was expected about that many times after 45 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 3, 16) with the draw of 14 January 2012 — its closest relative in 45 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 September 2012): 16, 38 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 13 by chanceNZ$22,559
  • Match 5329≈ 438 by chanceNZ$855
  • Match 4 + Bonus987≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$68.00
  • Match 415,183≈ 18k by chanceNZ$38.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,356≈ 23k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 15,183 winners, 13% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$22,559
    Match 5329NZ$855
    Match 4 + Bonus987NZ$68.00
    Match 415,183NZ$38.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,356NZ$24.00