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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 8 September 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 16
  3. 31
  4. 38
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 28

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 45 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-09-01All recent draws2012-09-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 16 31 38 39 40 + 2829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

710times
165times
318times
386times
39

Prize breakdown · 2012-09-08

  • Lines in play≈ 8.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 41k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 202lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 421%NZ$584.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$568.2K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$621.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

7times
408times

Every number was expected about that many times after 44 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (7, 31, 38) with the draw of 5 May 2012 — its closest relative in 44 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 September 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

171

The numbers add up to 171 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39, 39–40. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 23% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 13 by chanceNZ$22,662
  • Match 5374≈ 426 by chanceNZ$756
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,030≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 416,699≈ 17k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,726≈ 23k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,030 winners, 3% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$22,662
    Match 5374NZ$756
    Match 4 + Bonus1,030NZ$65.00
    Match 416,699NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,726NZ$25.00