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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 22 September 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 12
  3. 17
  4. 19
  5. 21
  6. 35
  7. 1

JackpotNZ$2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 47 of 1,355 under them

← 2012-09-15All recent draws2012-09-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 12 17 19 21 35 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd95th
  • low79th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

97times
126times
176times
193times
21

Prize breakdown · 2012-09-22

  • Lines in play≈ 9.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.8Mto 45k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 204lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 653%NZ$2.0M
  • Match 416%NZ$585.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$557.6K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$625.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

10times
3510times

Every number was expected about that many times after 46 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 17, 21) with the draw of 11 February 2012 — its closest relative in 46 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 September 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$2,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 14 by chanceNZ$16,086
  • Match 5447≈ 475 by chanceNZ$636
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,169≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 418,288≈ 19k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,344≈ 25k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 18,288 winners, 4% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$2,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$16,086
    Match 5447NZ$636
    Match 4 + Bonus1,169NZ$58.00
    Match 418,288NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,344NZ$22.00