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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 September 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 15
  4. 26
  5. 33
  6. 35
  7. 24

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 44 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-08-25All recent draws2012-09-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 15 26 33 35 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

15times
57times
159times
266times
33

Prize breakdown · 2012-09-01

  • Lines in play≈ 9.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.0Mto 45k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 198lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 422%NZ$647.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$619.5K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$696.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

10times
359times

Every number was expected about that many times after 43 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 15, 26) with the draw of 21 July 2012 — its closest relative in 43 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 August 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 14 by chanceNZ$20,300
  • Match 5482≈ 465 by chanceNZ$657
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,165≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 419,038≈ 19k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,779≈ 25k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 19,038 winners, 2% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$20,300
    Match 5482NZ$657
    Match 4 + Bonus1,165NZ$65.00
    Match 419,038NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,779NZ$25.00